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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: August 9th, 2023

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  • Yeah, this stuff takes time to work out. As long as the side effects aren’t a big deal, they might err on the side of too much.

    Covid vaccines were something of an exception because they were motivated and infections were widespread. Lots of chances to get good data. Treatments for other diseases don’t have those advantages.

    The HPV vax, for example, was released in 2016 on a three dose schedule. There’s some studies out there that argue two doses would be plenty, but it’s not a consensus, either. That’s after almost a decade.

    PrEP is already keeping HIV infection rates pretty low, at least in rich countries where there’s money to do these studies. Not going to be good data on dose schedules for many, many years. Maybe even decades.




  • Ukraine had nukes and gave them up. They were invaded.

    Iraq gave up their WMD program after the first Gulf War. They were invaded again.

    Iran definitely had a nuclear program, but doesn’t appear to be pursuing it anymore. They’re getting attacked and quite possibly will get invaded.

    South Africa had a nuclear program and gave it up. Left alone.

    The Great Powers, particularly the United States but also Russia, have shown that your country should just keep going once you start. Chances are, you’ll get invaded, anyway.

    This is not the way towards anti-proliferation.