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Joined 8 months ago
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Cake day: October 29th, 2024

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  • I am not going make any predictions, but with the expansion of anti-regime protests, it seems that the situation is entering a new phase.

    As the old saying goes, “There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen.”

    While I agree that American security forces tend to have what I call “wannabe cowboy syndrome” (I have firsthand experiences when I was living and travelling to the US), I would also consider more base human reactions with respect to the attitude of the security services.

    No one wants to be the one forced to do the dirty work and take the bulk of the risk. This is human nature. And at some point US security forces might question whether they want to take the heat for some oligarchs and other senior criminals.

    I would also question the willingness of the US pro-oligarch plebs to actually engage in “war”. There is a lot of crazies (especially with the militia LARP that’s popular in the US), but the average pro-corruption American arguably has a very low tolerance for challenges. It’s one thing to talk big and another thing to well actually put your life on the line (engaging in “war” also means there is a solid chance you get hit).

    Just some thoughts from someone who has loved in both the US and Ukraine (this were I currently live too).