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Cake day: June 18th, 2023

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  • Buffalox@lemmy.worldtoTechnology@lemmy.worldWhen the AI bubble bursts
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    3 hours ago

    AI is improving at the same rate it always has

    This is blatantly false, there’s a reason there is talk of the cold winter of AI, and the long walk in the desert.
    The desert walk was at least 2 decades of very little progress despite big investments, the cold winter was another decade without much progress because of disillusionment so nobody wanted to invest in it.
    AI has progressed more for the past 10-15 years than it did for 40 years from about the 70’s to about 2010.

    For actual AI, nothing has changed.

    I assume you mean strong or general AI, and that’s not what we are debating here, because that is not a reality yet.

    Something that doesn’t exist obviously can’t burst.


  • Buffalox@lemmy.worldtoTechnology@lemmy.worldWhen the AI bubble bursts
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    3 hours ago

    I agree 100%, and yes there are always losers due to competition and failure to compete. Just like some companies are losing money making cars, but cars are obviously not a bubble.
    Maybe the most of the hype is over for now among investors, but AFAIK Nvidia who is the biggest supplier of hardware for it, is not seeing a slowdown in demand.
    So maybe it’s more a slow down of interest in the media?



  • Buffalox@lemmy.worldtoTechnology@lemmy.worldWhen the AI bubble bursts
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    4 hours ago

    Yes I think Facebook and Microsoft may lose money on this, you could call that over investing, but for it to be a bubble that burst, companies need to go down, and people lose money on it.
    Otherwise you may be looking for a completely different word which is fad, a period where something is over hyped, but quickly settles down like Fidget Spinners.
    .com was a bubble because a lot of people lost a lot of money, so much so that it reverberated through the entirety of financial systems globally. I don’t think we will see a financial bubble burst due to AI, that is more than 1% of that at most.
    META is throwing out money like crazy on their “META” project that will never succeed, and they are doing the same with AI, but they will not go bankrupt on it, and AI will almost guaranteed be more successful than the “META” project.
    What I mean is that generally more money will be made on AI, than is lost experimenting with it.


  • Buffalox@lemmy.worldtoTechnology@lemmy.worldWhen the AI bubble bursts
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    4 hours ago

    I don’t think it will, AI will improve transform and expand in areas of usefulness, so I think we are still in the early days.

    But at what point can we agree that it didn’t?
    When we finally get FSD for real? When AI helps improve diagnosis and saves lives?
    When AI creates new molecules that are better than any chemist could do without AI.

    What will it take for people to realize that AI is here to stay? And AI will remain a significant part of our economy.
    Some people behave like AI is some sort of .com bubble, but from an economic viewpoint that doesn’t make the slightest bit of sense. The investment landscape into AI is completely different from the .com speculation that was completely void of content.

    AI is financed by established players that develop and use AI themselves, while .com was venture capital investing in ideas with no purpose.
    Tesla may burst, because they try to sell themselves as an AI company, but they are so far behind it’s ridiculous.
    I suspect the Tesla bubble may burst in 5-10 years.








  • How is it similar if Ukraine see preventing Iran from having nukes as a legitimate target?
    Ukraine gave up their nukes against guarantees that USA would help protect them.
    Then Russia invades anyway in 2014, Because they want Crimea.
    And Obama says to Ukraine they are on their own.
    Then in 2022 Russia invade again, despite Ukraine is not in any way threatening Russia.
    And Biden makes some half-assed support for Ukraine, giving them support, but only just enough to maintain a stalemate.

    It is clearly no wonder why Ukraine want USA to make good on their promise, but USA is a shit country you can’t rely on. It’s n0ot just Trump, it’s actually 3 presidents, and 2 of them were democratic.

    But there is no way you can claim Ukraine is parroting Russia in this, the difference is that Iran is trying to get nukes, and Ukraine gave up theirs for protection.
    But clearly the advice to Iran must be to get those nukes as fast as they freakingly can, because they can’t trust Israel and USA to not attack unless they have them.



  • The regulation is such an insane patchwork, sometimes people can retire earlier than the normal retirement age, if they’ve been working for many years. And if you health is bad there are special programs for that. (Yes as in multiple!)
    But clearly as you state, the system is made to benefit the rich more an more. The social democrats who are part of the government are no longer looking after the average Joe, but making things worse, and then they make special programs for propaganda purposes.
    A lot of people have been convinced this is necessary, as life expectancy increases, disregarding increased automation and wealth in our society.






  • We (Denmark) helped USA in both Iraq and Afghanistan. In Afghanistan we even had the highest rate of fatal casualties among allies, compared to the size of our population.
    Now we are not buying American made defense equipment anymore, apart from contracts already signed, and we are working to get rid of Microsoft in government organizations and public services.
    Many European countries are doing the same, no more helping the American military industrial complex, or the American government when they have an F35 program with budget overruns. Which we actually did when we signed our F35 contract with USA.